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Think Your Altcoin Will Beat Bitcoin ROI? Then Don’t Look at This Chart

Bitcoin dwarfs every other altcoin when it comes to return on investment (ROI) since initial exchange listing, data shows. Had you threw in just $100 bucks into BTC in 2010, you would be a millionaire today.


Bitcoin ROI Shows Why They’re Called ‘Altcoins’

A new visual graph from DataLight perfectly illustrates just how impressive Bitcoin ROI (return on investment) has been over the past decade.

Buying just $100 USD worth of Bitcoin in mid-2010 would have netted you a cool $1.3 million today. That is, if you managed to ‘hodl’ instead of ‘sodl’ your precious bits until today.

By comparison, every other cryptocurrency has been dwarfed by BTC when it comes to ROI since being first listed on an exchange.

Granted, when it comes to trading on exchanges, Bitcoin has an almost 3 year head start even on Litecoin, one of the oldest ‘altcoins’ and the first to use the Scrypt hashing algorithm. But for those banking on the ‘silver to Bitcoin’s gold’ to beat Bitcoin’s returns anytime soon may be out of luck.

Certainly, Litcoin has seen some impressive rips in recent years. However, the price of Litecoin has had a much different trajectory while being at the mercy of BTC market cycles.

For example LTC/USD peaked at around $35 in November 2013. These same price levels then repeated in July 2017….and again in January 2019. This is more reflective of speculative, pump-n-dump behavior than a (secondary) store of value.

Bitcoin, on the other hand, stands out  as it continues to post higher highs after every bubble making it the perennial leader of cryptocurrencies today.

Ethereum (ETH) 00 has been the best performing altcoin since its exchange debut in 2015. One hundred bucks into Ethereum would have netted you roughly $68,000 today at around $170 per ETH. Though, undoubtedly, this figure would be much higher at Ethereum’s all-time high of nearly $1,400 in January 2018.

Bitcoin-branded forks like Bitcoin Cash, meanwhile, have fared even worse, actually depreciating in value since their inception.

Bitcoin Apples to Altcoin Oranges

More recently, Bitcoinist highlighted the stellar performance of Binance Coin (BNB) 00, which has skyrocketed in value since launching in mid-2017. In fact, it has become the first cryptocurrency to surpass the January 2018 all-time high.

At the same time, comparing in-house digital tokens like BNB (and pretty much every other ‘alt’ with a foundation or a company behind it) to Bitcoin is like comparing apples to oranges.

In fact, every single altcoin is paired against bitcoin by default for a reason. Admittedly, some altcoins have performaned marvelously against BTC since their inception, particularly on shorter timeframes.

But as the saying goes: the faster they rise, the faster they fall.

That’s because their low market caps on exchanges are both a weakess and a strength. In bull-markets, for example, a lower cap means a coin can be pumped much easier allowing it to outpace the gains of high cap cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.

On longer timeframes, however, the story repeats over and over again as Bitcoin demonstrates who’s king.

#REKT? Not With Bitcoin! Yearly ROI On Largest Cryptocurrency Still Tops 150%

Think Your Favorite Altcoin Can Beat BTC? Good Luck.

Therefore, it is no surprise that Bitcoin, being a truly leaderless, decentralized and open-source cryptocurrency, has attracted the most network effect and hashing power to be the most secure blockchain today.

Subsequently, this give investor confidence more confidence in Bitcoin above all. It also means that it’s the de facto choice for trustlessly transferring value over any other cryptocurrency regardless of fees.

It’s also no coincidence that the SEC is considering approving a Bitcoin ETF only. It’s why Bitcoin trading instruments have been the first to hit traditional markets; and why investors are increasingly calling it ‘irresponsible’ not to have exposure to BTC in 2019.

In fact, data has shown that allocating only 1 percent of one’s portfolio to bitcoin historically outperforms the S&P 500, gold and US Treasury bonds.

But, more importantly, it also highlights the possibility of a Lindy effect, suggesting that the ‘internet of money’ could be a zero sum game. If so, then betting on ‘the next bitcoin’ looks more like gambling. Whereas bitcoin is increasingly becoming the safer play and one of the best investment opportunities in generations.

As InterchangeHQ cofounder, Dan Hedl says:

You think the altcoin you’re holding will beat Bitcoin’s return? Good luck.

Is investing in altcoins a good strategy compared to only bitcoin? Share your thoughts below!


Images via Shutterstock

The Rundown

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It’s ‘Irresponsible’ For Investors Not To Have Any Bitcoin Exposure – Says Xapo CEO

Xapo CEO, Wences Casares, believes that it would be “irresponsible” for any investor not to have at least a one percent position in bitcoin as it could have a bigger impact on the world than the internet. 


Minimal Bitcoin Exposure, Maximum Gains

In an essay published by Kana and Katana back in March 2019, the Xapo chief laid down an argument for Bitcoin to take up one percent of every investment portfolio. According to Casares, a $10 million with a one percent allocation to BTC could yield close to $25 million within seven to ten years.

Casares based his analysis on his forecast that BTC could top $1 million within the stated timeframe. Conversely, if Bitcoin fails, the portfolio would only have lost the original one percent – $100,000.

Wences Casares

According to Casares:

Bitcoin offers a unique opportunity for a non-material exposure to produce a material outcome. It would be irresponsible to have an exposure to Bitcoin that one cannot afford to lose because the risk of losing the principal is very real. But it would be almost as irresponsible to not have any exposure at all.

Investment legend, Biller Miller is a popular example of Casares’ logic. In July 2017, Miller took up a one percent position on BTC. By mid-December 2017, BTC accounted for 50 percent of Miller’s total asset under management, simply because BTC/USD gained almost 700 percent in value during that period.

The 2018 bear market probably, reduced Bitcoin’s proportion with respect to the rest of Miller’s portfolio. However, with BTC price still double what it was in July 2017, Miller’s bitcoin bag is still in the green.

Bitcoin Resembles the Early Internet

For Casares, whose company stores over $10 billion in BTC for clients in Swiss ‘bunkers,’ the signs pointing towards Bitcoin’s long-term success continue to become evident as time passes. For one, the Xapo chief says Bitcoin resembles the early internet in many ways.

Casares highlighted how since the establishment of the Internet, the world has seen little of protocol developments and with more emphasis on creating companies. Bitcoin, according to the Xapo CEO represents a new paradigm-altering protocol that could have even greater ramifications than the Internet.

Coming from a purely technical standpoint, Casares does agree that there exists the possibility that Bitcoin might not necessarily fail, but become obsolete. He says companies could create solutions on a protocol level that appeal more to users than Bitcoin’s current state.

Casares has previously made expressed similar sentiments, describing Bitcoin as an intellectual experiment that could still fail.

However, Bitcoin’s leaderless open-source and borderless approach to both its tech and economics are diminishing this possibility alongside its ever-growing network effect and first-mover advantage.

Meanwhile, there is a growing unease with the policies of governments and central banks that are making BTC become an even more attractive proposition to investors as a hedge.

Forget Altcoins, BTC is the Real Deal

Casares also adds that the other over 2,000 altcoins don’t stand a chance. The Xapo CEO says Bitcoin as a protocol is already on its way to succeeding in ways altcoins can’t.

5 Altcoins with Major Events the week of April 1, 2018 (Gains Likely to Beat BTC Returns!)

Elaborating on the gulf in utility and adoption, Casares noted:

Over 60 million people own Bitcoin and over 1 million people become new owners every month. The other 1,000 cryptocurrencies [that process at least one transaction per day] have less than 5 million owners combined, so Bitcoin will add more users in the next 5 months than those 1,000 cryptocurrencies added in their combined history.

Back in August 2018, Casares declared that altcoins will eventually face a “mass extinction event.” Commentators like Matt Hougan of Bitwise and Barry Silbert of Digital Currency group also believe that most altcoins will not survive the crypto version of the dot-com bubble bursting. After which, most altcoins will go to zero.

Bitcoin’s superiority becomes even more apparent given that its value transfer dwarfs all cryptocurrencies despite having fewer BTC transactions per day than some altcoins.

Should investment portfolios consider taking up a one percent position on Bitcoin? Share your thoughts with us in the comments below.


Image via Twitter (@wences), realidadeconomica.com.ar

The Rundown

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Swiss Bank Julius Baer Launching Crypto Services to Meet ‘Increasing Demand’

The Swiss private bank industry is stepping up its efforts to become a formidable world player in the crypto industry. Now, Julius Baer, one of the largest and oldest Swiss private banks, and SEBA Crypto AG are joining forces to offer their clients a range of digital asset services, in a fully regulated environment.


Major Swiss Banks Embracing Cryptocurrencies

The Julius Baer group is partnering with SEBA to respond to its clients’ growing demands for crypto asset services. According to the announcement on February 26, 2019,

Julius Baer will enter into a partnership with SEBA to take advantage of their innovative platform and capabilities in order to provide Julius Baer clients with leading-edge solutions in the area of digital assets to meet an increasing demand.

At the announcement, Peter Gerlach, Head Markets at Julius Baer, remarked,

At Julius Baer, we are convinced that digital assets will become a legitimate, sustainable asset class of an investor’s portfolio. The investment into SEBA as well as our strong partnership is proof of Julius Baer’s engagement in the area of digital assets and our dedication to make pioneering innovation available to the benefit of our clients.

Julius Baer’s move follows the trend set by other Swiss private banks. In August 2017, Maerki Baumann Private Bank announced that it would be accepting cryptocurrencies. And, Falcon bank already allows direct crypto transfers, while its blockchain facilitates investments in Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash, Ether, and Litecoin.

Moreover, Switzerland’s stock exchange Six has been offering a Bitcoin-heavy cryptocurrency ETP for some time now and planning its own security token offering (STO) later this year.

Bridging the Gap Between Fiat and Cryptocurrencies

SEBA, headquartered in Zug, Switzerland, aims “to build a FINMA supervised and progressive technological bridge between the traditional and the crypto worlds.”

SEBA is currently petitioning The Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority (FINMA) for a banking license.

Swiss Regulators Engage Banks to Prevent Exodus of Cryptocurrency Ventures

The partnership with Julius Baer will take effect when SEBA obtains a securities dealer and banking license from FINMA.

Thus, besides providing a platform for storage, transaction and trading solutions for digital assets, SEBA will ensure that these services will be delivered within the FINMA regulatory framework. In this regard, Guido Buehler, CEO SEBA, underlines,

We are very proud to have Julius Baer as an investor. SEBA will enable easy and safe access to the crypto world in a fully regulated environment. The cooperation between SEBA and Julius Baer will undoubtedly create value for the mutual benefit and to the clients.

How do you think Julius Bair and other major Swiss banks’ ventures into the crypto space will impact Bitcoin’s value? Let us know in the comments below!


Images courtesy of  Twitter/@Juliusbaier, Shutterstock

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Grayscale Q4 Report Finds Institutional Investors Returning to ‘Bitcoin Maximalism’

Digital Currency Asset Manager, Grayscale Investments, had a record year in 2018, with institutions and retirement accounts comprising the lion’s share. What’s more, they are increasingly opting for Bitcoin over other altcoin offerings as the cryptocurrency market flatlines. 


A Challenging, Yet Record Year

According to Grayscale’s Q4 report, 2018 saw new investment at Grayscale hit a record high of $359.5 million; almost triple that of 2017’s bull-run. However, quarter on quarter, inflows reduced over 60 percent on average to only $31.1 million in Q4.

The breakdown of this figure shows that price falls and the general market slowdown, are changing the average investor profile. As Grayscale Managing Director, Michael Sonnenshein, explained:

It was by no means our best quarter, but it’s certainly important to recognize that despite the price declines investors were actively engaged.

‘Return of the Bitcoin Maximalist’

Of this inflow, 88 percent came from bitcoin investment, and 12 percent from non-bitcoin investment.

This is compared to 67 percent and 33 percent bitcoin to alts through 2018, suggesting that investors are increasingly going for Bitcoin as the bear market continues.

Grayscale notes that a key takeaway from their Q4 data is that there is increasing appetite for their bitcoin product compared to other altcoins.

Return of the Bitcoin Maximalist. Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (f/k/a Bitcoin Investment Trust) stood out this quarter, attracting the most capital within the Grayscale family of products despite further price declines in the digital asset market. In the fourth quarter, 88% of inflows were into Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, while 12% were into products tied to other digital assets.

Saving For The Grey Dollar

Individual investors can buy and hold Grayscale’s flagship Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) product via brokerage retirement accounts. This gives investors exposure to bitcoin price 00 movements without actually buying any, which is almost impossible through retirement vehicles normally.

While such investors made up 15 percent of Grayscale’s total inflows for 2018 ($53.9 million), this leapt to 40% when considering only Q4 (around $12 million).

Institutional investors accounted for 50 percent of Q4 investment (66% over the whole of 2018), and family offices and accredited investors made up the rest.

This indicates that average investors are using the bear market to invest for retirement, taking a long-term view on the prospects of BTC.

Institutional Holdings

The other indication from these results is that larger institutions are gradually building up their core strategic positions in the market.

This is certainly echoed by Grayscale Founder, and CEO of (Grayscale parent company) Digital Currency Group, Barry Silbert. As Bitcoinist reported yesterday, Silbert is expecting 2019 to be a tipping point for institutional investment, and expects prices to “snap back hard” as soon as this happens.

Grayscale is the largest cryptocurrency asset manager in the world, holding $793.6 million of client funds.

Meanwhile, earlier this week saw the first investment into cryptocurrency of US public pension funds. Two funds representing public servants from Fairfax County, anchored a $40 million fund launched by Morgan Creek Digital.

Why do you think retirement funds are tapping into Bitcoin? Share your thoughts below!


Images courtesy of Shutterstock, grayscale.co

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Indonesian Bitcoin Traders Protest BTC Futures Capital Requirements

Bitcoin traders in Indonesia are protesting what they call excessive capital requirements imposed by the government on cryptocurrency futures trading. The aggrieved brokers say the restrictive law is preventing anyone from participating in the market.


Stifling the Bitcoin Futures Trading Arena

According to The Jakarta Post, the Futures Exchange Supervisory Board (Bappebti) of the Indonesian Trade Ministry issued regulations to govern cryptocurrency futures trading in the country. Among these laws are minimum capital requirements for cryptocurrency futures traders and brokers.

Article 8, paragraph 1 of the regulations stipulate that crypto futures brokerage firms require a minimum paid-up capital of 1 trillion rupiah ($71.7 million). Also, article 24, paragraph 3 of the same set of regulations require Bitcoin futures traders to hold a minimum of 100 billion rupiah ($7.17 million), out of which the law mandates a minimum deposit of 80 billion ruppiah ($5.73 million).

Stakeholders in the industry say the transferred capital requirements far exceed those stipulated for futures trading in mainstream asset classes.

Speaking to Reuters, Oscar Darmawan, the CEO of Indodax, a cryptocurrency exchange platform compared the capital requirements to that of mainstream futures contracts which stands at 2.5 billion rupiah ($179,000).

Back in mid-2018, Bitcoinist reported that Bappebti was legitimizing virtual currencies by classifying them as commodities. While the need to offer consumer protection is legitimate, a 40,000 percent dichotomy in capital requirement for cryptos and mainstream commodities futures trading is seen by industry commentators as excessive.

According to Darmawan, these regulations are counterproductive to the growth of the virtual currency industry. Reports indicate there haven’t been any transactions in the Indonesian cryptocurrency futures trading market to date.

Weekly Bitcoin Trading Volume Reaches New Heights

Meanwhile, BTC trading volume in Indonesia is currently on the rise.

Indonesia weekly Bitcoin trading volume

Data from Coin Dance shows that Indonesians traded 102 BTC via Localbitcoins for the week ending February 9, 2019. This figure represents the country’s largest weekly trading volume beating the previous record of 43 BTC set in early October 2016.

In terms of the rupiah, the new weekly BTC trading volume stands at 4.5 billion rupiah. The country’s apex bank banned the use of Bitcoin for payments back in December 2017, but trading cryptos isn’t outlawed.

Do you think the minimum capital requirement imposed on Indonesian BTC futures brokerages is exorbitant? Let us know your thoughts in the comments below.


Image courtesy of coin.dance, Shutterstock